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UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCUPS)の決算・業績分析

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCの2025年有価証券報告書をAI分析。売上高$88.7B(-2.6%)。営業利益$7.9B。Industrials

目次
SUMMARY — 業績サマリー

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC2025年度 業績サマリー

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC(証券コード: UPS)の2025年度決算・業績分析。売上高は$88.7B(前年比-2.6%)。営業利益は$7.9B(前年比-7.1%)。純利益は$5.6B(前年比-3.6%)。有価証券報告書を基に、業績変化の要因・リスク・見通し・セグメント構成を AI が分析しました。

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC2024年度 注目ポイント

※ 直近の2025年度XBRLデータは取込済みですが、AI分析は2024年度の10-Kを対象としています。

  1. UPS reported $100.3B revenue in FY2024 (+3.1% YoY) (XBRL), driven by consistent 4.8% CAGR over 5 years (XBRL).
  2. Net Income declined -10.4% YoY to $11.5B (XBRL), despite strong operating income (+2.2% YoY to $13.1B) (XBRL).
  3. Free Cash Flow reached $9.3B (XBRL), supported by $14.1B operating cash flow and $4.8B CapEx (XBRL).
  4. ROE of 66.7% (XBRL) reflects strong equity returns, though net debt stands at $17.8B (1.1x EBITDA) (XBRL).
  5. Amazon accounted for 11.8% of FY2024 revenue (10-K), with potential 50% volume reduction by 2026 (10-K).

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCの売上高変化の要因

  • Revenue grew 3.1% YoY to $100.3B (XBRL), with 5-year CAGR of 4.8% (XBRL). Historical data shows steady growth from $71.9B (FY2020) to $100.3B (FY2024) (XBRL). Supply Chain Solutions and International Package segments likely drove growth, though segment-specific revenue details are not disclosed (10-K).

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCの営業利益変化の要因

  • Operating margin remained stable at 13.1% (XBRL), while net margin declined to 11.5% (-10.4% YoY) (XBRL). EBITDA of $16.3B (16.2% margin) (XBRL) reflects efficient cost management despite net income contraction. Gross profit data is not available (N/A).

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCの事業リスクと対応

Economic volatility impacts global operations (10-K).

Intense competition from postal services, tech firms, and startups (10-K).

Reliance on Amazon (11.8% revenue) with potential 50% volume reduction by 2026 (10-K).

Customer contract terminations or changes could disrupt revenue (10-K).

Industry evolution demands faster delivery and tech innovation (10-K).

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCの今後の見通し・業績予想

Management guidance not explicitly detailed in provided data (10-K). However, risks like Amazon's volume reduction agreement (10-K) and geopolitical conflicts (10-K) may impact future performance.

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCの事業内容

UPS operates as a global leader in package delivery and logistics, generating revenue through transportation, distribution, and integrated logistics solutions (10-K). Key segments include U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain Solutions, serving businesses across healthcare, B2B, and international markets (10-K). Competitive advantages include a global smart logistics network, RFID-enabled systems, and a strong brand (10-K). No significant customer concentration is reported (10-K).

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCのAI業績分析レポート(2024年度)

UPS FY2024 Annual Report Analysis

Highlights
Revenue: $100.3B (+3.1% YoY) (XBRL), 4.8% 5Y CAGR (XBRL).
Net Income: $11.5B (-10.4% YoY) (XBRL).
FCF: $9.3B (XBRL), driven by $14.1B operating cash flow (XBRL).
ROE: 66.7% (XBRL), net debt of $17.8B (1.1x EBITDA) (XBRL).
Amazon Risk: 11.8% revenue exposure with potential 50% volume reduction (10-K).
Business Overview

UPS operates as a global logistics leader, generating revenue through package delivery, distribution, and integrated logistics solutions (10-K). Key segments include U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain Solutions (10-K). Competitive advantages include a global smart logistics network, RFID-enabled systems, and strong brand equity (10-K). No significant customer concentration is reported (10-K).

Revenue Analysis

Revenue grew 3.1% YoY to $100.3B (XBRL), with 5-year CAGR of 4.8% (XBRL). Historical data shows growth from $71.9B (FY2020) to $100.3B (FY2024) (XBRL). Segment-specific revenue details are not disclosed (10-K).

Profitability Analysis

Operating margin of 13.1% (XBRL) and EBITDA margin of 16.2% (XBRL) reflect strong cost control. Net income declined -10.4% YoY to $11.5B (XBRL), with gross profit data unavailable (N/A).

Balance Sheet Analysis

Equity ratio of 24.3% (XBRL) and current ratio of 1.10x (XBRL) indicate moderate leverage. Total assets of $71.1B (XBRL) vs. total equity of $17.3B (XBRL). Net debt of $17.8B (1.1x EBITDA) (XBRL) highlights reliance on debt.

Cash Flow Analysis

Operating cash flow of $14.1B (XBRL) funded $9.3B FCF after $4.8B CapEx (XBRL). Dividends paid $5.1B (XBRL) and share repurchases totaled $3.5B (XBRL). Investing cash flow was -$7.5B (XBRL).

Working Capital Analysis

CCC of 21 days (XBRL) with 41 days receivables, 3 days inventory, and 23 days payables. Asset turnover of 1.41x (XBRL) indicates efficient asset use.

Risks
1.Economic volatility impacts global operations (10-K).
2.Intense competition from postal services, tech firms, and startups (10-K).
3.Reliance on Amazon (11.8% revenue) with potential 50% volume reduction by 2026 (10-K).
4.Customer contract terminations or changes could disrupt revenue (10-K).
5.Industry evolution demands faster delivery and tech innovation (10-K).
Outlook

Management guidance not explicitly detailed (10-K). Risks like Amazon's volume reduction agreement (10-K) and geopolitical conflicts (10-K) may impact future performance.

Historical Time Series

MetricFY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue71.9B74.1B84.6B97.3B100.3B91.0B
Operating Income7.0B7.8B7.7B12.8B13.1B9.1B
Net Income4.8B4.4B1.3B12.9B11.5B6.7B
Total Assets50.0B57.9B62.4B69.4B71.1B70.1B
Total Equity3.3B657M14.3B19.8B17.3B16.7B
Operating Cash Flow12.7B8.6B10.5B15.0B14.1B10.2B

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