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MOSAIC COMOS)の決算・業績分析

MOSAIC COの2025年有価証券報告書をAI分析。売上高$12.1B(+8.4%)。営業利益$822M。Materials

目次
SUMMARY — 業績サマリー

MOSAIC CO2025年度 業績サマリー

MOSAIC CO(証券コード: MOS)の2025年度決算・業績分析。売上高は$12.1B(前年比+8.4%)。営業利益は$822M(前年比+32.2%)。純利益は$541M(前年比+209.1%)。有価証券報告書を基に、業績変化の要因・リスク・見通し・セグメント構成を AI が分析しました。

MOSAIC CO2024年度 注目ポイント

※ 直近の2025年度XBRLデータは取込済みですが、AI分析は2024年度の10-Kを対象としています。

  1. Revenue surged to $19.1B (+54.8% YoY) with a 5-year CAGR of 7.4% (XBRL).
  2. Operating income jumped 93.9% YoY to $4.8B, driven by improved margins (XBRL).
  3. Net income grew 119.7% YoY to $3.6B, with net margin expanding to 18.7% (XBRL).
  4. Free cash flow reached $2.7B, with $1.7B allocated to share repurchases (XBRL).
  5. Equity ratio of 52.5% and current ratio of 1.22x indicate strong financial health (XBRL).

MOSAIC COの売上高変化の要因

  • Revenue grew 54.8% YoY to $19.1B, reflecting a 5-year CAGR of 7.4% (XBRL). Historical data shows a significant acceleration from $12.4B in FY2023 to $19.1B in FY2024. Growth drivers include increased demand for fertilizers and improved operational efficiency. The 5-year revenue growth outpaces the 7.6% CAGR in operating income, indicating margin expansion (XBRL).

MOSAIC COの営業利益変化の要因

  • Gross margin of 30.1% and operating margin of 25.0% reflect improved cost control (XBRL). Operating income surged 93.9% YoY to $4.8B, while net income rose 119.7% YoY to $3.6B. EBITDA of $5.7B (29.9% margin) highlights strong pre-interest profitability. Net margin expanded to 18.7%, up from 13.3% in FY2023 (calculated from historical net income and revenue data).

MOSAIC COの事業リスクと対応

Agricultural industry volatility (weather, crop prices, government policies) impacts profitability (10-K).

Countervailing duty (CVD) orders on Moroccan/Russian phosphate fertilizers may change, affecting operations (10-K).

U.S. tariffs on Canadian potash (25%) and retaliatory measures could raise costs and reduce demand (10-K).

Pandemics/health outbreaks disrupt supply chains and operations (10-K).

Inflation, supply chain issues, and foreign exchange volatility increase production costs (10-K).

2025 U.S. tariffs on Canadian potash (25%) are a new risk with potential long-term impacts (10-K).

MOSAIC COの事業内容

MOSAIC CO (MOS) operates in the phosphate and potash industries, producing fertilizers critical to global agriculture. The company's business model relies on extracting and processing phosphate rock and potash, which are essential inputs for crop production. Competitive positioning is challenged by geopolitical risks (e.g., U.S.-Canada tariffs) and regulatory hurdles (e.g., countervailing duties on Moroccan/Russian phosphate fertilizers). The company's global operations face volatility from agricultural commodity prices, weather patterns, and government policies (10-K).

MOSAIC COのAI業績分析レポート(2024年度)

MOSAIC CO (MOS) FY2024 Annual Report Analysis

Highlights

Revenue: $19.1B (+54.8% YoY) with a 5-year CAGR of 7.4% (XBRL).
Operating Income: $4.8B (+93.9% YoY), driven by margin expansion (XBRL).
Net Income: $3.6B (+119.7% YoY), with net margin of 18.7% (XBRL).
Free Cash Flow: $2.7B, with $1.7B allocated to share repurchases (XBRL).
Financial Health: Equity ratio of 52.5% and current ratio of 1.22x (XBRL).

Business Overview

MOSAIC CO operates in the phosphate and potash industries, producing fertilizers critical to global agriculture. The company's business model relies on extracting and processing phosphate rock and potash, which are essential inputs for crop production. Competitive positioning is challenged by geopolitical risks (e.g., U.S.-Canada tariffs) and regulatory hurdles (e.g., countervailing duties on Moroccan/Russian phosphate fertilizers). The company's global operations face volatility from agricultural commodity prices, weather patterns, and government policies (10-K).

Revenue Analysis

Revenue grew 54.8% YoY to $19.1B, reflecting a 5-year CAGR of 7.4% (XBRL). Historical data shows a significant acceleration from $12.4B in FY2023 to $19.1B in FY2024. Growth drivers include increased demand for fertilizers and improved operational efficiency. The 5-year revenue growth outpaces the 7.6% CAGR in operating income, indicating margin expansion (XBRL).

Profitability Analysis

Gross margin of 30.1% and operating margin of 25.0% reflect improved cost control (XBRL). Operating income surged 93.9% YoY to $4.8B, while net income rose 119.7% YoY to $3.6B. EBITDA of $5.7B (29.9% margin) highlights strong pre-interest profitability. Net margin expanded to 18.7%, up from 13.3% in FY2023 (calculated from historical net income and revenue data).

Balance Sheet Analysis

Total assets grew to $23.4B (from $20.1B in FY2020), with total equity increasing to $12.3B (from $9.2B in FY2020) (XBRL). The equity ratio of 52.5% indicates a conservative capital structure. Cash reserves of $735M provide liquidity, though the current ratio of 1.22x suggests moderate short-term obligations (XBRL).

Cash Flow Analysis

Operating cash flow reached $3.9B, with $2.7B in free cash flow after $1.2B in CapEx (XBRL). Capital expenditures of $1.2B (6.5% of revenue) reflect investment in long-term growth. Share repurchases of $1.7B and dividends of $198M totaled $1.9B in shareholder returns (XBRL).

Working Capital Analysis

N/A

Risks

1.Agricultural industry volatility (weather, crop prices, government policies) impacts profitability (10-K).
2.Countervailing duty (CVD) orders on Moroccan/Russian phosphate fertilizers may change, affecting operations (10-K).
3.U.S. tariffs on Canadian potash (25%) and retaliatory measures could raise costs and reduce demand (10-K).
4.Pandemics/health outbreaks disrupt supply chains and operations (10-K).
5.Inflation, supply chain issues, and foreign exchange volatility increase production costs (10-K).
6.2025 U.S. tariffs on Canadian potash (25%) are a new risk with potential long-term impacts (10-K).

Outlook

N/A

Historical Time Series

MetricFY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue9.6B8.9B8.7B12.4B19.1B13.7B
Operating Income928M-1.1B413M2.5B4.8B1.3B
Net Income470M-1.1B666M1.6B3.6B1.2B
Total Assets20.1B19.3B19.8B22.0B23.4B23.0B
Total Equity9.2B9.6B10.6B12.1B12.3B11.5B
Operating Cash Flow1.4B1.1B1.6B2.2B3.9B2.4B

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