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CF Industries Holdings, IncCF)の決算・業績分析

CF Industries Holdings, Incの2025年有価証券報告書をAI分析。売上高$7.1B(+19.3%)。営業利益$2.3B。Materials

目次
SUMMARY — 業績サマリー

CF Industries Holdings, Inc2025年度 業績サマリー

CF Industries Holdings, Inc(証券コード: CF)の2025年度決算・業績分析。売上高は$7.1B(前年比+19.3%)。営業利益は$2.3B(前年比+31.7%)。純利益は$1.8B(前年比+21.7%)。有価証券報告書を基に、業績変化の要因・リスク・見通し・セグメント構成を AI が分析しました。

CF Industries Holdings, Inc2024年度 注目ポイント

※ 直近の2025年度XBRLデータは取込済みですが、AI分析は2024年度の10-Kを対象としています。

  1. Revenue surged 71.1% YoY to $11.2B (XBRL), driven by strong demand for nitrogen-based products.
  2. Operating income jumped 212.1% YoY to $5.4B (XBRL), with operating margin expanding to 48.2%.
  3. Net income grew 212.5% YoY to $3.9B (XBRL), reflecting robust profitability and efficiency gains.
  4. Shareholder returns totaled $1.7B (XBRL), including $1.3B in share repurchases and $306M in dividends.
  5. Gross margin reached 52.4% (XBRL), highlighting strong cost control and pricing power.

CF Industries Holdings, Incの売上高変化の要因

  • FY2024 revenue of $11.2B (XBRL) reflects a +71.1% YoY increase, driven by strong demand for ammonia and ammonia-derived products in agriculture and clean energy applications (10-K). Historical data shows revenue growth from $4.4B (FY2020) to $11.2B (FY2024), though FY2025 revenue is projected at $6.6B (XBRL). Segment-specific revenue breakdowns are not available in the XBRL data.

CF Industries Holdings, Incの営業利益変化の要因

  • Gross profit of $5.9B (XBRL) and gross margin of 52.4% (XBRL) indicate strong cost control. Operating income of $5.4B (XBRL) and operating margin of 48.2% (XBRL) rose 212.1% YoY, attributed to improved production efficiency and favorable market conditions (10-K). Net income of $3.9B (XBRL) and net margin of 35.2% (XBRL) grew 212.5% YoY. Cost of sales changes are not quantified in the XBRL data.

CF Industries Holdings, Incの事業リスクと対応

Cyclical industry fluctuations impact profitability due to supply-demand imbalances (10-K).

Price volatility from global commodity markets and oversupply risks (10-K).

New production capacity increasing supply and depressing prices (10-K).

Intense competition from state-owned entities with subsidies (10-K).

Economic/political changes accelerating capacity expansions (10-K).

Historical 34% decline in average selling prices (2015-2017) due to oversupply (10-K).

CF Industries Holdings, Incの今後の見通し・業績予想

Management emphasizes decarbonizing ammonia production and expanding low-carbon hydrogen applications as key trends (10-K). FY2025 revenue is projected at $6.6B (XBRL), though no specific financial guidance or operational trends are quantified in the XBRL data or 10-K.

CF Industries Holdings, Incの事業内容

CF Industries produces nitrogen-based products (anhydrous ammonia, urea, UAN, DEF) via the Haber-Bosch process, serving agricultural and industrial customers globally. Operations span the U.S., Canada, UK, and Trinidad, supported by logistics networks for global distribution (10-K). Competitive advantages include the world’s largest ammonia production network, strategic ventures (e.g., with CHS), and a focus on decarbonization (10-K). No significant customer concentration is reported (10-K).

CF Industries Holdings, IncのAI業績分析レポート(2024年度)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) FY2024 Annual Report Analysis

Highlights

Revenue surged 71.1% YoY to $11.2B (XBRL), driven by strong demand for nitrogen-based products.
Operating income jumped 212.1% YoY to $5.4B (XBRL), with operating margin expanding to 48.2%.
Net income grew 212.5% YoY to $3.9B (XBRL), reflecting robust profitability and efficiency gains.
Shareholder returns totaled $1.7B (XBRL), including $1.3B in share repurchases and $306M in dividends.
Gross margin reached 52.4% (XBRL), highlighting strong cost control and pricing power.

Business Overview

CF Industries produces nitrogen-based products (anhydrous ammonia, urea, UAN, DEF) via the Haber-Bosch process, serving agricultural and industrial customers globally. Operations span the U.S., Canada, UK, and Trinidad, supported by logistics networks for global distribution (10-K). Competitive advantages include the world’s largest ammonia production network, strategic ventures (e.g., with CHS), and a focus on decarbonization (10-K). No significant customer concentration is reported (10-K).

Revenue Analysis

FY2024 revenue of $11.2B (XBRL) reflects a +71.1% YoY increase, driven by strong demand for ammonia and ammonia-derived products in agriculture and clean energy applications (10-K). Historical data shows revenue growth from $4.4B (FY2020) to $11.2B (FY2024), though FY2025 revenue is projected at $6.6B (XBRL). Segment-specific revenue breakdowns are not available in the XBRL data.

Profitability Analysis

Gross profit of $5.9B (XBRL) and gross margin of 52.4% (XBRL) indicate strong cost control. Operating income of $5.4B (XBRL) and operating margin of 48.2% (XBRL) rose 212.1% YoY, attributed to improved production efficiency and favorable market conditions (10-K). Net income of $3.9B (XBRL) and net margin of 35.2% (XBRL) grew 212.5% YoY. Cost of sales changes are not quantified in the XBRL data.

Balance Sheet Analysis

Equity ratio of 39.8% (XBRL) and current ratio of 3.81x (XBRL) suggest strong liquidity and leverage management. Long-term debt of $3.0B (XBRL) is offset by high ROE (68.9%) and ROA (27.4%) (XBRL). Total assets grew from $12.2B (FY2020) to $14.4B (FY2024) (XBRL), while total equity increased from $2.9B (FY2020) to $5.7B (FY2024) (XBRL).

Cash Flow Analysis

Operating cash flow of $3.9B (XBRL) exceeded net income of $3.9B (XBRL). Free cash flow (FCF) of $3.4B (XBRL) was generated after $453M in CapEx (XBRL). Investing activities totaled -$440M (XBRL), primarily from CapEx. Financing activities totaled -$2.7B (XBRL), including $306M in dividends and $1.3B in share repurchases (XBRL).

Working Capital Analysis

N/A. Receivables, inventory, and payables days are not quantified in the XBRL data or 10-K.

Risks

1.Cyclical industry fluctuations impact profitability due to supply-demand imbalances (10-K).
2.Price volatility from global commodity markets and oversupply risks (10-K).
3.New production capacity increasing supply and depressing prices (10-K).
4.Intense competition from state-owned entities with subsidies (10-K).
5.Economic/political changes accelerating capacity expansions (10-K).
6.Historical 34% decline in average selling prices (2015-2017) due to oversupply (10-K).

Outlook

Management emphasizes decarbonizing ammonia production and expanding low-carbon hydrogen applications as key trends (10-K). FY2025 revenue is projected at $6.6B (XBRL), though no specific financial guidance or operational trends are quantified in the XBRL data or 10-K.

Historical Time Series

MetricFY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue4.4B4.6B4.1B6.5B11.2B6.6B
Operating Income766M1.0B623M1.7B5.4B2.2B
Net Income428M646M432M1.3B3.9B1.8B
Total Assets12.2B12.0B12.4B13.3B14.4B13.5B
Total Equity2.9B2.9B3.2B5.1B5.7B5.0B
Operating Cash Flow1.5B1.5B1.2B2.9B3.9B2.8B

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