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MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INCMOH)の決算・業績分析

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INCの2025年有価証券報告書をAI分析。売上高$45.4B(+11.7%)。営業利益$781M。Financials

目次
SUMMARY — 業績サマリー

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INC2025年度 業績サマリー

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INC(証券コード: MOH)の2025年度決算・業績分析。売上高は$45.4B(前年比+11.7%)。営業利益は$781M(前年比-54.2%)。純利益は$472M(前年比-60.0%)。有価証券報告書を基に、業績変化の要因・リスク・見通し・セグメント構成を AI が分析しました。

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INC2024年度 注目ポイント

※ 直近の2025年度XBRLデータは取込済みですが、AI分析は2024年度の10-Kを対象としています。

  1. Revenue surged to $32.0B (+15.1% YoY) in FY2024, driven by Medicaid expansion and successful RFP wins (XBRL).
  2. Net income grew 20.2% YoY to $792M, with ROE reaching 30.1% (XBRL).
  3. Net debt turned negative at -$1.8B (-1.4x EBITDA), reflecting strong liquidity (XBRL).
  4. Operating margin improved to 3.7% (+0.2% YoY), while net margin rose to 2.5% (+0.3% YoY) (XBRL).

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INCの売上高変化の要因

  • Revenue grew 15.1% YoY to $32.0B, with a 5-year CAGR of 12.5% (XBRL). The historical time series shows steady growth from $18.9B (FY2020) to $34.1B (FY2025 guidance). Segment-specific revenue data is not disclosed in XBRL or 10-K (N/A). Growth drivers include Medicaid expansion, successful RFP wins, and stable premium rates in core markets (10-K).

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INCの営業利益変化の要因

  • Operating margin improved to 3.7% (+0.2% YoY), while net margin rose to 2.5% (+0.3% YoY) (XBRL). EBITDA margin held at 4.2%, with operating income growing 15.0% YoY to $1.2B. Net income surged 20.2% YoY to $792M, reflecting improved cost management and premium growth (XBRL).

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INCの事業リスクと対応

Failure to renew Medicaid contracts could reduce premium revenues (10-K).

Inadequate or delayed premium payments may harm cash flow (10-K).

Marketplace business volatility affects revenue predictability (10-K).

State rate adjustments without premium increases risk margin compression (10-K).

Over-reliance on top states (California, New York, Texas, Washington) exposes revenue to jurisdiction-specific risks (10-K).

Medicaid premium revenue constitutes 79% of total premium revenue (10-K).

Top four states account for 51% of Medicaid premium revenue (10-K).

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INCの事業内容

Molina Healthcare provides managed healthcare services under Medicaid, Medicare, and state insurance marketplaces, generating revenue through premium payments from these programs (10-K). The company operates four segments: Medicaid (largest, serving low-income individuals), Medicare (seniors), Marketplace (state insurance marketplaces), and Other (insignificant). Key customers include government programs and state marketplaces, with no significant customer concentration (10-K). Competitive advantages include a 90% Medicaid RFP re-procurement win rate, strong medical cost ratio (MCR) management, and AI-driven operational efficiency (10-K).

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INCのAI業績分析レポート(2024年度)

Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) FY2024 Annual Report Analysis

Highlights

Revenue surged to $32.0B (+15.1% YoY) in FY2024, driven by Medicaid expansion and successful RFP wins (XBRL).
Net income grew 20.2% YoY to $792M, with ROE reaching 30.1% (XBRL).
Net debt turned negative at -$1.8B (-1.4x EBITDA), reflecting strong liquidity (XBRL).
Operating margin improved to 3.7% (+0.2% YoY), while net margin rose to 2.5% (+0.3% YoY) (XBRL).

Business Overview

Molina Healthcare provides managed healthcare services under Medicaid, Medicare, and state insurance marketplaces, generating revenue through premium payments from these programs (10-K). The company operates four segments: Medicaid (largest, serving low-income individuals), Medicare (seniors), Marketplace (state insurance marketplaces), and Other (insignificant). Key customers include government programs and state marketplaces, with no significant customer concentration (10-K). Competitive advantages include a 90% Medicaid RFP re-procurement win rate, strong medical cost ratio (MCR) management, and AI-driven operational efficiency (10-K).

Revenue Analysis

Revenue grew 15.1% YoY to $32.0B, with a 5-year CAGR of 12.5% (XBRL). The historical time series shows steady growth from $18.9B (FY2020) to $34.1B (FY2025 guidance). Segment-specific revenue data is not disclosed in XBRL or 10-K (N/A). Growth drivers include Medicaid expansion, successful RFP wins, and stable premium rates in core markets (10-K).

Profitability Analysis

Operating margin improved to 3.7% (+0.2% YoY), while net margin rose to 2.5% (+0.3% YoY) (XBRL). EBITDA margin held at 4.2%, with operating income growing 15.0% YoY to $1.2B. Net income surged 20.2% YoY to $792M, reflecting improved cost management and premium growth (XBRL).

Balance Sheet Analysis

Equity ratio stands at 17.7%, with total equity growing to $2.6B (XBRL). Long-term debt is $2.2B, but net debt is -$1.8B (-1.4x EBITDA) due to $4.0B in cash reserves. Current ratio of 1.54x indicates strong short-term liquidity (XBRL).

Cash Flow Analysis

Operating cash flow reached $773M, with free cash flow (FCF) of $682M after $91M in CapEx (XBRL). Financing activities included $400M in share repurchases. Investing cash flow was -$790M, reflecting capital expenditures and asset acquisitions (XBRL).

Working Capital Analysis

N/A

Risks

Failure to renew Medicaid contracts could reduce premium revenues (10-K).
Inadequate or delayed premium payments may harm cash flow (10-K).
Marketplace business volatility affects revenue predictability (10-K).
State rate adjustments without premium increases risk margin compression (10-K).
Over-reliance on top states (California, New York, Texas, Washington) exposes revenue to jurisdiction-specific risks (10-K).
Medicaid premium revenue constitutes 79% of total premium revenue (10-K).
Top four states account for 51% of Medicaid premium revenue (10-K).

Outlook

N/A

Historical Time Series

MetricFY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue18.9B16.8B19.4B27.8B32.0B34.1B
Operating Income1.1B1.0B1.1B1.0B1.2B1.6B
Net Income707M737M673M659M792M1.1B
Total Assets7.2B9.5B12.2B12.3B14.9B15.6B
Total Equity1.3B1.6B2.0B2.1B2.6B3.0B
Operating Cash Flow-314M434M1.9B2.1B773M1.7B

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