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HUMANA INCHUM)の決算・業績分析

HUMANA INCの2025年有価証券報告書をAI分析。売上高$5.8B(+31.6%)。営業利益$2.7B。Financials

目次
SUMMARY — 業績サマリー

HUMANA INC2025年度 業績サマリー

HUMANA INC(証券コード: HUM)の2025年度決算・業績分析。売上高は$5.8B(前年比+31.6%)。営業利益は$2.7B(前年比+5.5%)。純利益は$1.2B(前年比-1.6%)。有価証券報告書を基に、業績変化の要因・リスク・見通し・セグメント構成を AI が分析しました。

HUMANA INC2024年度 注目ポイント

※ 直近の2025年度XBRLデータは取込済みですが、AI分析は2024年度の10-Kを対象としています。

  1. Revenue surged to $4.8B (+56.3% YoY) driven by federal government contracts (85% of total revenue) (XBRL).
  2. Operating income rose to $3.8B (+20.7% YoY) with operating margin at 79.6% (XBRL).
  3. Net income declined to $2.8B (-4.3% YoY) despite strong EBITDA of $4.5B (94.4% of revenue) (XBRL).
  4. Free cash flow reached $3.5B (OCF $4.6B - CapEx $1.1B) with $2.1B allocated to share repurchases (XBRL).
  5. Debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.89x with net debt of $5.5B (1.2x EBITDA) (XBRL).

HUMANA INCの売上高変化の要因

  • Revenue grew to $4.8B in FY2024 (+56.3% YoY), reflecting strong performance in federal government contracts (85% of total revenue). Historical growth shows a 5-year CAGR of 22.6% (from $1.5B in FY2020 to $4.8B in FY2024). Operating income increased to $3.8B (+20.7% YoY), though it dipped in FY2023 ($3.1B) before recovering. No segment-specific revenue data is available in the provided XBRL or 10-K (XBRL).

HUMANA INCの営業利益変化の要因

  • Operating margin expanded to 79.6% (up from $3.1B in FY2020 to $3.8B in FY2024) (XBRL). Net margin was 58.8% in FY2024, though net income declined by 4.3% YoY to $2.8B (from $2.9B in FY2023) (XBRL). EBITDA of $4.5B (94.4% of revenue) highlights strong operational efficiency. Operating income CAGR over 5 years was 5.3%, lagging behind revenue growth due to rising healthcare costs and regulatory pressures (XBRL).

HUMANA INCの事業リスクと対応

Inaccurate pricing/product design risks: Insufficient premiums or benefit cost estimates could harm profitability (10-K).

Healthcare cost volatility: Rising medical inflation, drug costs, or new treatments may exceed projections (10-K).

Reserve inadequacy: Benefit reserves may be insufficient due to variability in claim patterns and medical trends (10-K).

Operating expense management: Staff costs, new product investments, or regulatory compliance could increase expenses (10-K).

Competitive pressures: Larger competitors and easy market entry threaten market share and pricing power (10-K).

Regulatory risks: Government-mandated benefits, legislative changes, and CMS reimbursement rules for Medicare Part D rebates could increase operating expenses (10-K).

HUMANA INCの事業内容

Humana Inc. (HUM) operates as a leading provider of medical and specialty insurance products through networks of healthcare providers, generating revenue primarily from premiums and services. Approximately 85% of 2024 revenue came from federal government contracts, including Medicare Advantage, Part D, and State-based programs (10-K). Key segments include Insurance (Medicare Advantage, PDP, Commercial fully-insured, Specialty benefits, Medicare Supplement, State-based contracts) and CenterWell (healthcare services like pharmacy solutions, primary care, and home solutions) (10-K). The company serves ~16 million medical plan members and 5 million specialty product members (10-K). Competitive advantages include an integrated care delivery model with data analytics, value-based care arrangements, and a large provider network (10-K).

HUMANA INCのAI業績分析レポート(2024年度)

Humana Inc. (HUM) Annual Report Analysis FY2024

Highlights

Revenue: $4.8B (+56.3% YoY) driven by federal government contracts (85% of total revenue) (XBRL).
Operating Income: $3.8B (+20.7% YoY) with operating margin at 79.6% (XBRL).
Net Income: $2.8B (-4.3% YoY) despite strong EBITDA of $4.5B (94.4% of revenue) (XBRL).
Free Cash Flow: $3.5B (OCF $4.6B - CapEx $1.1B) with $2.1B allocated to share repurchases (XBRL).
Debt Profile: Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.89x with net debt of $5.5B (1.2x EBITDA) (XBRL).

Business Overview

Humana Inc. operates as a leading provider of medical and specialty insurance products through networks of healthcare providers, generating revenue primarily from premiums and services. Approximately 85% of 2024 revenue came from federal government contracts, including Medicare Advantage, Part D, and State-based programs (10-K). Key segments include Insurance (Medicare Advantage, PDP, Commercial fully-insured, Specialty benefits, Medicare Supplement, State-based contracts) and CenterWell (healthcare services like pharmacy solutions, primary care, and home solutions) (10-K). The company serves ~16 million medical plan members and 5 million specialty product members (10-K). Competitive advantages include an integrated care delivery model with data analytics, value-based care arrangements, and a large provider network (10-K).

Revenue Analysis

Revenue grew to $4.8B in FY2024 (+56.3% YoY), reflecting strong performance in federal government contracts (85% of total revenue). Historical growth shows a 5-year CAGR of 22.6% (from $1.5B in FY2020 to $4.8B in FY2024). Operating income increased to $3.8B (+20.7% YoY), though it dipped in FY2023 ($3.1B) before recovering. No segment-specific revenue data is available in the provided XBRL or 10-K (XBRL).

Profitability Analysis

Operating margin expanded to 79.6% (up from $3.1B in FY2020 to $3.8B in FY2024) (XBRL). Net margin was 58.8% in FY2024, though net income declined by 4.3% YoY to $2.8B (from $2.9B in FY2023) (XBRL). EBITDA of $4.5B (94.4% of revenue) highlights strong operational efficiency. Operating income CAGR over 5 years was 5.3%, lagging behind revenue growth due to rising healthcare costs and regulatory pressures (XBRL).

Balance Sheet Analysis

Total assets grew to $47.1B in FY2024 (up from $29.1B in FY2020) (XBRL). Equity ratio was 34.5% with total equity at $16.3B (up from $9.8B in FY2020) (XBRL). Long-term debt increased to $10.2B (from $9.8B in FY2020), resulting in a net debt of $5.5B (1.2x EBITDA) (XBRL). Current ratio of 1.59x indicates strong short-term liquidity (XBRL).

Cash Flow Analysis

Operating cash flow reached $4.6B in FY2024 (up from $2.2B in FY2020) (XBRL). Free cash flow was $3.5B (OCF $4.6B - CapEx $1.1B) (XBRL). Capital expenditures totaled $1.1B (CapEx intensity 23.8%) (XBRL). Dividends paid were $392M, and share repurchases amounted to $2.1B, reflecting a payout ratio of 14.0% (XBRL).

Working Capital Analysis

N/A

Risks

1.Inaccurate pricing/product design risks: Insufficient premiums or benefit cost estimates could harm profitability (10-K).
2.Healthcare cost volatility: Rising medical inflation, drug costs, or new treatments may exceed projections (10-K).
3.Reserve inadequacy: Benefit reserves may be insufficient due to variability in claim patterns and medical trends (10-K).
4.Operating expense management: Staff costs, new product investments, or regulatory compliance could increase expenses (10-K).
5.Competitive pressures: Larger competitors and easy market entry threaten market share and pricing power (10-K).
6.Regulatory risks: Government-mandated benefits, legislative changes, and CMS reimbursement rules for Medicare Part D rebates could increase operating expenses (10-K).

Outlook

N/A

Historical Time Series

MetricFY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue1.5B1.4B1.8B3.1B4.8B4.0B
Operating Income3.1B3.2B5.0B3.1B3.8B4.0B
Net Income1.7B2.7B3.4B2.9B2.8B2.5B
Total Assets29.1B35.0B44.4B43.1B47.1B46.5B
Total Equity9.8B10.2B16.1B15.3B16.3B16.4B
Operating Cash Flow2.2B5.3B5.6B2.3B4.6B4.0B

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