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FEDEX CORPFDX)の決算・業績分析

FEDEX CORPの2025年有価証券報告書をAI分析。売上高$87.9B(+0.3%)。営業利益$5.2B。Industrials

目次
SUMMARY — 業績サマリー

FEDEX CORP2025年度 業績サマリー

FEDEX CORP(証券コード: FDX)の2025年度決算・業績分析。売上高は$87.9B(前年比+0.3%)。営業利益は$5.2B(前年比-6.2%)。純利益は$4.1B(前年比-5.5%)。有価証券報告書を基に、業績変化の要因・リスク・見通し・セグメント構成を AI が分析しました。

FEDEX CORP2024年度 注目ポイント

※ 直近の2025年度XBRLデータは取込済みですが、AI分析は2024年度の10-Kを対象としています。

  1. Revenue grew 11.4% YoY to $93.5B (XBRL), but net income fell 26.9% YoY to $3.8B (XBRL).
  2. Operating margin improved to 6.7% (XBRL), while net margin declined to 4.1% (XBRL).
  3. Net debt to EBITDA ratio stands at 1.3x (XBRL), with $12.9B in net debt (XBRL).
  4. Five-year revenue CAGR of 6.6% (XBRL) contrasts with a -2.8% CAGR in net income (XBRL).

FEDEX CORPの売上高変化の要因

  • Revenue increased 11.4% YoY to $93.5B (XBRL), growing from $84.0B in FY2023 (XBRL). Historical growth shows a 6.6% CAGR over five years (XBRL), though FY2025 revenue declined slightly to $90.2B (XBRL). Operating income rose 6.6% YoY to $6.2B (XBRL), but net income fell 26.9% YoY to $3.8B (XBRL), reflecting a -2.8% CAGR in net income over five years (XBRL).

FEDEX CORPの営業利益変化の要因

  • Operating margin improved to 6.7% (XBRL), up from 7.1% in FY2023 (XBRL). Net margin declined to 4.1% (XBRL), down from 6.2% in FY2023 (XBRL). EBITDA of $10.2B (10.9% margin) (XBRL) reflects strong operational efficiency despite declining net income. Five-year operating income CAGR of 2.8% (XBRL) contrasts with net income's negative CAGR of -2.8% (XBRL).

FEDEX CORPの事業リスクと対応

Macroeconomic risks (e.g., inflation, global trade slowdowns) hurt demand for shipping services (10-K).

Declining U.S. imports and global industrial production reduce freight volumes, lowering revenue (10-K).

Geopolitical conflicts (e.g., Ukraine, Middle East) create operational uncertainty and disruptions (10-K).

Customer preference shifts toward slower, cheaper shipping services reduce revenue and margins (10-K).

High fixed costs and difficulty adjusting operations to volume changes hurt profitability during downturns (10-K).

FEDEX CORPの事業内容

FedEx Corp (FDX) operates a global logistics network, generating revenue through shipping, logistics, and integrated business solutions (10-K). Key segments include FedEx Express (global express transportation), FedEx Ground (North American small-package delivery), FedEx Freight (LTL freight), and FedEx Services (support functions). Post-2024 consolidation, Federal Express and FedEx Freight are major segments, with FedEx Dataworks, FedEx Office, and FedEx Logistics under 'Corporate, other, and eliminations' (10-K). Competitive advantages include a unified global network, brand recognition, and long-term focus on optimizing returns through technology and asset investments (10-K).

FEDEX CORPのAI業績分析レポート(2024年度)

FedEx Corp (FDX) FY2024 Annual Report Analysis

Highlights

Revenue grew 11.4% YoY to $93.5B (XBRL), but net income fell 26.9% YoY to $3.8B (XBRL).
Operating margin improved to 6.7% (XBRL), while net margin declined to 4.1% (XBRL).
Net debt to EBITDA ratio stands at 1.3x (XBRL), with $12.9B in net debt (XBRL).
Five-year revenue CAGR of 6.6% (XBRL) contrasts with a -2.8% CAGR in net income (XBRL).

Business Overview

FedEx Corp operates a global logistics network, generating revenue through shipping, logistics, and integrated business solutions (10-K). Key segments include FedEx Express (global express transportation), FedEx Ground (North American small-package delivery), FedEx Freight (LTL freight), and FedEx Services (support functions). Post-2024 consolidation, Federal Express and FedEx Freight are major segments, with FedEx Dataworks, FedEx Office, and FedEx Logistics under 'Corporate, other, and eliminations' (10-K). Competitive advantages include a unified global network, brand recognition, and long-term focus on optimizing returns through technology and asset investments (10-K).

Revenue Analysis

Revenue increased 11.4% YoY to $93.5B (XBRL), growing from $84.0B in FY2023 (XBRL). Historical growth shows a 6.6% CAGR over five years (XBRL), though FY2025 revenue declined slightly to $90.2B (XBRL). Operating income rose 6.6% YoY to $6.2B (XBRL), but net income fell 26.9% YoY to $3.8B (XBRL), reflecting a -2.8% CAGR in net income over five years (XBRL).

Profitability Analysis

Operating margin improved to 6.7% (XBRL), up from 7.1% in FY2023 (XBRL). Net margin declined to 4.1% (XBRL), down from 6.2% in FY2023 (XBRL). EBITDA of $10.2B (10.9% margin) (XBRL) reflects strong operational efficiency despite declining net income. Five-year operating income CAGR of 2.8% (XBRL) contrasts with net income's negative CAGR of -2.8% (XBRL).

Balance Sheet Analysis

Equity ratio of 28.1% (XBRL) and current ratio of 1.37x (XBRL) indicate moderate leverage and liquidity. Total assets grew from $52.3B in FY2020 (XBRL) to $87.1B in FY2025 (XBRL), while total equity increased from $16.1B in FY2020 (XBRL) to $24.9B in FY2025 (XBRL). Net debt of $12.9B (XBRL) represents 1.3x EBITDA (XBRL), with $6.9B in cash (XBRL).

Cash Flow Analysis

Operating cash flow of $9.8B (XBRL) supported $3.0B in free cash flow (XBRL). Investing cash flow was -$6.8B (XBRL), reflecting capital expenditures, while financing cash flow was -$3.0B (XBRL), including $793M in dividends (XBRL) and $2.2B in share repurchases (XBRL). Depreciation and amortization totaled $4.0B (XBRL).

Working Capital Analysis

N/A

Risks

1.Macroeconomic risks (e.g., inflation, global trade slowdowns) hurt demand for shipping services (10-K).
2.Declining U.S. imports and global industrial production reduce freight volumes, lowering revenue (10-K).
3.Geopolitical conflicts (e.g., Ukraine, Middle East) create operational uncertainty and disruptions (10-K).
4.Customer preference shifts toward slower, cheaper shipping services reduce revenue and margins (10-K).
5.High fixed costs and difficulty adjusting operations to volume changes hurt profitability during downturns (10-K).

Outlook

N/A

Historical Time Series

MetricFY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue65.5B69.7B69.2B84.0B93.5B90.2B
Operating Income4.3B4.5B2.4B5.9B6.2B4.9B
Net Income4.6B540M1.3B5.2B3.8B4.0B
Total Assets52.3B54.4B73.5B82.8B86.0B87.1B
Total Equity16.1B19.4B17.8B18.3B24.2B24.9B

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