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CENTENE CORPCNC)の決算・業績分析

CENTENE CORPの2025年有価証券報告書をAI分析。売上高$174.6B(+20.0%)。営業利益-$7.6B。Financials

目次
SUMMARY — 業績サマリー

CENTENE CORP2025年度 業績サマリー

CENTENE CORP(証券コード: CNC)の2025年度決算・業績分析。売上高は$174.6B(前年比+20.0%)。営業利益は-$7.6B(前年比-340.1%)。純利益は-$6.7B(前年比-301.9%)。有価証券報告書を基に、業績変化の要因・リスク・見通し・セグメント構成を AI が分析しました。

CENTENE CORP2024年度 注目ポイント

※ 直近の2025年度XBRLデータは取込済みですが、AI分析は2024年度の10-Kを対象としています。

  1. Revenue grew 14.8% YoY to $135.5B (XBRL), driven by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions.
  2. Operating income declined 26.1% YoY to $1.3B (XBRL), impacted by impairments and higher health benefits costs.
  3. Net debt stood at $5.6B (2.0x EBITDA) (XBRL), reflecting a leveraged capital structure despite strong cash reserves of $12.1B (XBRL).
  4. Shareholder returns totaled $3.1B via buybacks (XBRL), while free cash flow (FCF) reached $5.3B (XBRL).
  5. Gross margin remained stable at 12.5% (XBRL), but net margin fell to 0.9% (XBRL) due to declining profitability.

CENTENE CORPの売上高変化の要因

  • Total revenue reached $135.5B (XBRL), a 14.8% YoY increase. Growth was driven by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions, though segment-specific revenue figures are not disclosed in the XBRL or 10-K. Historical data shows a 5-year CAGR of 19.9% in revenue (XBRL). The company's focus on Medicaid, Medicare, and commercial health insurance remains central to its business model.

CENTENE CORPの営業利益変化の要因

  • Gross profit was $16.9B (XBRL) with a 12.5% margin (XBRL), but operating income fell 26.1% YoY to $1.3B (XBRL). Net income declined 10.8% YoY to $1.2B (XBRL), driven by impairments, divestitures, and higher health benefits costs (10-K). Margins remained stable at 12.5% (gross), 1.0% (operating), and 0.9% (net) (XBRL).

CENTENE CORPの事業リスクと対応

Inaccurate medical expense estimation could increase health benefits ratio (HBR), reducing profits (10-K).

Post-PHE Medicaid redeterminations increased HBR due to higher member acuity (10-K).

Medical claims liability estimates involve significant judgment, risking material adjustments (10-K).

Premium deficiency reserves for 2025 Medicare Advantage may require adjustments if assumptions are wrong (10-K).

New operations in states/regions face challenges in estimating medical claims liability with limited data (10-K).

Regulatory risks include changes in healthcare regulations, ACA-related premium subsidies, and Medicaid redeterminations (10-K).

CENTENE CORPの今後の見通し・業績予想

Management highlighted divestitures (e.g., Magellan Rx, Circle Health) and a reduced Medicare Advantage footprint as key trends impacting future results (10-K). No explicit forward-looking financial guidance is provided in the XBRL or 10-K.

CENTENE CORPの事業内容

Centene Corp operates as a healthcare enterprise providing managed healthcare products and services through Medicaid, Medicare, and commercial programs, targeting under-insured and uninsured individuals. Its revenue model relies on government-sponsored and commercial healthcare programs, with key segments including Medicaid (62% revenue), Medicare (14%), Commercial (21%), and Other (3%). The company's competitive advantage lies in its local, community-focused approach, enabling tailored healthcare solutions and sustainable partnerships. Membership totaled 28.6 million as of December 31, 2024, with no significant customer concentration (10-K).

CENTENE CORPのAI業績分析レポート(2024年度)

Centene Corp (CNC) FY2024 Annual Report Analysis

Highlights

Revenue grew 14.8% YoY to $135.5B (XBRL), driven by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions.
Operating income declined 26.1% YoY to $1.3B (XBRL), impacted by impairments and higher health benefits costs.
Net debt stood at $5.6B (2.0x EBITDA) (XBRL), reflecting a leveraged capital structure despite strong cash reserves of $12.1B (XBRL).
Shareholder returns totaled $3.1B via buybacks (XBRL), while free cash flow (FCF) reached $5.3B (XBRL).
Gross margin remained stable at 12.5% (XBRL), but net margin fell to 0.9% (XBRL) due to declining profitability.

Business Overview

Centene Corp operates as a healthcare enterprise providing managed healthcare products and services through Medicaid, Medicare, and commercial programs, targeting under-insured and uninsured individuals. Its revenue model relies on government-sponsored and commercial healthcare programs, with key segments including Medicaid (62% revenue), Medicare (14%), Commercial (21%), and Other (3%). The company's competitive advantage lies in its local, community-focused approach, enabling tailored healthcare solutions and sustainable partnerships. Membership totaled 28.6 million as of December 31, 2024, with no significant customer concentration (10-K).

Revenue Analysis

Total revenue reached $135.5B (XBRL), a 14.8% YoY increase. Growth was driven by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions, though segment-specific revenue figures are not disclosed in the XBRL or 10-K. Historical data shows a 5-year CAGR of 19.9% in revenue (XBRL). The company's focus on Medicaid, Medicare, and commercial health insurance remains central to its business model.

Profitability Analysis

Gross profit was $16.9B (XBRL) with a 12.5% margin (XBRL), but operating income fell 26.1% YoY to $1.3B (XBRL). Net income declined 10.8% YoY to $1.2B (XBRL), driven by impairments, divestitures, and higher health benefits costs (10-K). Margins remained stable at 12.5% (gross), 1.0% (operating), and 0.9% (net) (XBRL).

Balance Sheet Analysis

Equity ratio was 30.5% (XBRL), with total equity at $25.8B (XBRL). Long-term debt totaled $17.7B (XBRL), resulting in a net debt of $5.6B (2.0x EBITDA) (XBRL). Cash reserves stood at $12.1B (XBRL), indicating strong liquidity despite a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.27x (XBRL).

Cash Flow Analysis

Operating cash flow (OCF) was $6.3B (XBRL), with free cash flow (FCF) of $5.3B (XBRL) after $1.0B in CapEx (XBRL). Shareholder returns totaled $3.1B via buybacks (XBRL). Investing cash flow was -$2.9B (XBRL), reflecting divestitures (e.g., Magellan Rx, Circle Health) and impairments (10-K).

Working Capital Analysis

N/A — working capital details (e.g., CCC, receivables/inventory/payables days) are not disclosed in the XBRL or 10-K.

Risks

Inaccurate medical expense estimation could increase health benefits ratio (HBR), reducing profits (10-K).
Post-PHE Medicaid redeterminations increased HBR due to higher member acuity (10-K).
Medical claims liability estimates involve significant judgment, risking material adjustments (10-K).
Premium deficiency reserves for 2025 Medicare Advantage may require adjustments if assumptions are wrong (10-K).
New operations in states/regions face challenges in estimating medical claims liability with limited data (10-K).
Regulatory risks include changes in healthcare regulations, ACA-related premium subsidies, and Medicaid redeterminations (10-K).

Outlook

Management highlighted divestitures (e.g., Magellan Rx, Circle Health) and a reduced Medicare Advantage footprint as key trends impacting future results (10-K). No explicit forward-looking financial guidance is provided in the XBRL or 10-K.

Historical Time Series

MetricFY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue56.4B70.4B103.8B118.0B135.5B140.1B
Operating Income1.5B1.8B3.1B1.8B1.3B2.9B
Net Income900M1.3B1.8B1.3B1.2B2.7B
Total Assets41.0B68.7B78.4B76.9B84.6B82.4B
Total Equity12.6B25.8B26.8B24.1B25.8B26.4B
Operating Cash Flow1.2B1.5B5.5B4.2B6.3B8.1B

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