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EXELON CORPEXC)の決算・業績分析

EXELON CORPの2025年有価証券報告書をAI分析。売上高$24.3B(+5.3%)。営業利益$5.1B。Utilities

目次
SUMMARY — 業績サマリー

EXELON CORP2025年度 業績サマリー

EXELON CORP(証券コード: EXC)の2025年度決算・業績分析。売上高は$24.3B(前年比+5.3%)。営業利益は$5.1B(前年比+19.2%)。純利益は$2.8B(前年比+12.5%)。有価証券報告書を基に、業績変化の要因・リスク・見通し・セグメント構成を AI が分析しました。

EXELON CORP2024年度 注目ポイント

※ 直近の2025年度XBRLデータは取込済みですが、AI分析は2024年度の10-Kを対象としています。

  1. Operating income surged 23.6% YoY to $3.3B (XBRL), driven by improved efficiency and regulatory rate recovery.
  2. Net debt reached $44.0B (7.3x EBITDA) (XBRL), reflecting aggressive capital spending and high leverage.
  3. Revenue grew 6.4% YoY to $19.1B (XBRL), but 5-year CAGR remains negative at -9.6% (XBRL).
  4. Payout ratio of 61.5% (XBRL) highlights strong shareholder returns despite negative free cash flow (-$2.3B).

EXELON CORPの売上高変化の要因

  • Revenue increased 6.4% YoY to $19.1B (XBRL), recovering from a 5-year CAGR of -9.6% (XBRL). Historical data shows a sharp decline from $36.0B (FY2020) to $16.7B (FY2022), followed by a modest rebound to $19.1B (FY2024). No segment-specific revenue data is available (XBRL). Growth drivers include regulatory rate approvals and infrastructure modernization, though long-term revenue trends remain challenged by market saturation and regulatory constraints.

EXELON CORPの営業利益変化の要因

  • Operating income rose 23.6% YoY to $3.3B (XBRL), with operating margin expanding to 17.4% (XBRL). EBITDA of $6.0B (31.5% margin) reflects strong cost control. Net income grew 18.7% YoY to $2.2B (XBRL), with net margin at 11.4% (XBRL). However, 5-year operating income CAGR is flat at +0.7% (XBRL), and net income CAGR is +2.3% (XBRL), indicating long-term profitability pressures.

EXELON CORPの事業リスクと対応

Regulatory uncertainty affecting rate recovery and profitability (10-K).

Compliance risks with NERC/FERC reliability standards (10-K).

Environmental regulations increasing operational costs (10-K).

Lengthy rate approval proceedings with uncertain outcomes (10-K).

Inability to recover costs through regulatory processes (10-K).

High net debt ($44.0B) and leverage (7.3x EBITDA) (XBRL).

EXELON CORPの事業内容

Exelon Corp operates as a utility services holding company, providing regulated retail electricity and natural gas distribution through subsidiaries like ComEd, PECO, and BGE (10-K). Its primary revenue model involves transmitting and distributing electricity/natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Illinois, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey (10-K). Key competitive advantages include long-term franchises (e.g., ComEd's Chicago franchise since 1992) and exclusive rights in certain regions (10-K). Customer concentration data is not disclosed (N/A).

EXELON CORPのAI業績分析レポート(2024年度)

Exelon Corp (EXC) FY2024 Annual Report Analysis

Highlights
Operating income surged 23.6% YoY to $3.3B (XBRL), driven by improved efficiency and regulatory rate recovery.
Net debt reached $44.0B (7.3x EBITDA) (XBRL), reflecting aggressive capital spending and high leverage.
Revenue grew 6.4% YoY to $19.1B (XBRL), but 5-year CAGR remains negative at -9.6% (XBRL).
Payout ratio of 61.5% (XBRL) highlights strong shareholder returns despite negative free cash flow (-$2.3B).
Business Overview

Exelon Corp operates as a utility services holding company, providing regulated retail electricity and natural gas distribution through subsidiaries like ComEd, PECO, and BGE (10-K). Its primary revenue model involves transmitting and distributing electricity/natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Illinois, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey (10-K). Key competitive advantages include long-term franchises (e.g., ComEd's Chicago franchise since 1992) and exclusive rights in certain regions (10-K). Customer concentration data is not disclosed (N/A).

Revenue Analysis

Revenue increased 6.4% YoY to $19.1B (XBRL), recovering from a 5-year CAGR of -9.6% (XBRL). Historical data shows a sharp decline from $36.0B (FY2020) to $16.7B (FY2022), followed by a modest rebound to $19.1B (FY2024). No segment-specific revenue data is available (XBRL). Growth drivers include regulatory rate approvals and infrastructure modernization, though long-term revenue trends remain challenged by market saturation and regulatory constraints.

Profitability Analysis

Operating income rose 23.6% YoY to $3.3B (XBRL), with operating margin expanding to 17.4% (XBRL). EBITDA of $6.0B (31.5% margin) reflects strong cost control. Net income grew 18.7% YoY to $2.2B (XBRL), with net margin at 11.4% (XBRL). However, 5-year operating income CAGR is flat at +0.7% (XBRL), and net income CAGR is +2.3% (XBRL), indicating long-term profitability pressures.

Balance Sheet Analysis

Equity ratio of 25.3% (XBRL) and D/E ratio of 2.95x (XBRL) highlight high leverage. Current ratio of 0.82x (XBRL) suggests short-term liquidity challenges. Total assets declined from $133.0B (FY2022) to $101.9B (FY2024) (XBRL), while total equity increased slightly to $25.8B (XBRL). Net debt of $44.0B (7.3x EBITDA) (XBRL) underscores significant financial risk.

Cash Flow Analysis

Operating cash flow of $4.9B (XBRL) was offset by $7.1B in CapEx, resulting in negative free cash flow (-$2.3B) (XBRL). Dividends paid totaled $1.3B (XBRL), with a payout ratio of 61.5% (XBRL). CapEx intensity of 37.5% (XBRL) reflects heavy investment in infrastructure, though this strains liquidity.

Working Capital Analysis

Receivables Days: 45 days (XBRL). Asset Turnover: 0.19x (XBRL). No data available for cash conversion cycle (CCC) or inventory/payables days (N/A).

Risks
Regulatory uncertainty affecting rate recovery and profitability (10-K).
Compliance risks with NERC/FERC reliability standards (10-K).
Environmental regulations increasing operational costs (10-K).
Lengthy rate approval proceedings with uncertain outcomes (10-K).
Inability to recover costs through regulatory processes (10-K).
High net debt ($44.0B) and leverage (7.3x EBITDA) (XBRL).
Outlook

N/A. Management guidance and forward-looking trends are not explicitly mentioned in the 10-K or XBRL data.

Historical Time Series
MetricFY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue36.0B34.4B16.7B17.9B19.1B21.7B
Operating Income3.9B4.4B2.2B2.7B3.3B4.0B
Net Income2.1B3.0B2.0B1.8B2.2B2.3B
Total Assets125.0B129.3B133.0B95.3B101.9B107.8B
Total Equity32.2B32.6B34.4B24.7B25.8B26.9B
Operating Cash Flow8.6B6.7B4.2B3.0B4.9B4.7B

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